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Assessing the Economic Impact of the Forcibly Displaced Myanmar Nationals on the Local Economy of Bangladesh

Since 25 August 2017, Cox’s Bazar district of Bangladesh has experienced a large influx of Rohingya refugees fleeing violence that erupted in Rakhine State in Myanmar. Consequently, about a million of them took shelter in 30 camps (registered camps, makeshift camps, newly built camps). The study jointly conducted with IFPRI would contribute to assessing the economic consequence of this large influx.

Two areas where evidence-based analysis could make a significant contribution to planning and program implementation are in understanding the dynamics of refugee welfare and the impacts of the refugees on the local economy. To that end four waves of migrants were identified. The identified four groups of migrants are distinguished because they face different environmental, legal and economic conditions, and may also differ in terms of where they came from or what triggered their migration.

In pursuit of these objectives, BIDS along with IFPRI would conduct analysis of household, community, and enterprise surveys, and secondary data and a Local Economy-wide Impact Evaluation (LEWIE) model for the southern Chittagong region as part of the study. Besides, a qualitative (mixed-methods) survey will also be conducted, including “life-histories” of refugees.

Four researchers from BIDS involved in this study are: Dr. Mohammad Yunus, Senior Research Fellow, Dr. Mohammad Mainul Hoque, Research Fellow, Dr. Golam Nabi Mozumder, Research Associate, and Dr. Zabid Iqbal, Research Associate.

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